Weighing the Week Ahead: Should Investors Worry about the 200-day Moving Average?

We have a normal economic calendar, and 1/3 of S&P 500 companies have not yet reported Q418 earnings. Corporate earnings are not confirming those who thought the market was signaling a recession. Both the economy and earnings remain in the background. Daily market moves, even small ones, and the often-erroneous explanations dominate the financial news. […]

Read More

Weighing the Week Ahead: Will Corporate Earnings Results Change the Message of the Markets?

It is a light economic calendar without any of the most important reports. The government shutdown will command increasing attention as long as it continues. Finally, there is some real competition in financial news – the start of earnings season. For weeks it has been a battle between economic data and stock prices, between economists […]

Read More

Weighing the Week Ahead: Should We Worry about Indicators that Decline from a Peak?

We are back to a normal economic calendar, with Congress in session and plenty of FedSpeak. Until the government shutdown ends, I expect that to get maximum news coverage, followed by the President’s latest legal troubles. Since these are not the most important market stories, I want to examine more closely the debate about economic […]

Read More

Weighing the Week Ahead: What is Your Course for Uncharted Waters?

We have a short week and one extremely light in scheduled news and economic data. Even the Wed-Fri stretch comes before another holiday weekend. In addition, the government shutdown will delay scheduled reports. Given the continuing divergence between economic news and market prices, that might not matter! Pundits have plenty to talk about. We are […]

Read More