April Employment Report Preview

Recent economic data, especially since mid-March, has taken a turn for the worse. Initial jobless claims have shown fluctuations that defied seasonal adjustment processes. Just as I (accurately) suggested last month, it is a time for caution. I will elaborate on my reasoning in the conclusion, but let us first review the expectations for Friday’s […]

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March Employment Report Preview

Once again the monthly payroll report has a special significance. I am cautious for several reasons: The market rally is generally perceived as extended – many are looking for a reason to sell; The recent economic data has shown signs of weakness, possibly affecting consumption and business formation; There is a ceiling on strength, due […]

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Weighing the Week Ahead: Signs of another Economic Soft Patch?

With each new week, there is a fresh challenge to the most-hated market rally. Last week it was Cyrpus. As I have suggested over the last two weeks in the WTWA series, this issue created volatility that provided opportunities for both traders and investors. This week I predict that attention will focus on possible softening […]

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