The economic calendar is light until the Friday employment report. Most of the punditry are still digesting the more aggressive talk in the recent speeches from Fed participants. With many observers expecting a correction and looking for a catalyst, pundits will be asking: Will a more aggressive Fed derail the rally in stocks? Personal Notes […]
For the last three weeks, the term “overbought” has been frequently used to describe the overall market as well as many specific stocks. What does this really mean? It has a dangerous sound, and that is indeed the common message. A stock, or a sector, or the overall market has rallied more than expected over […]
A Presidential address to Congress is an important occasion. In the first year of a term, it is called just that. In later years, it will be called the State of the Union Address. The circumstances, ceremony, and protocol are the same. I have been watching these speeches for decades, first as a political science […]
It is a big week for economic data and the first address to Congress from the new President. Most of the punditry is engaged in a collective head-shake about overbought conditions. Even if the data flow remains strong, pundits will be asking: Have stock prices lost touch with reality? Personal Notes I always try […]
Sector rotation is a regular media topic, but few really understand it. Stock moves are often described in sector terms – retail, transports, industrials, biotech, etc. You get the drift. There has been a movement to define sectors in terms of ETFs, but the slicing and dicing was not very accurate. Trades often included companies […]