Weighing the Week Ahead: Economic Sunrise?

We have a big economic calendar with reports on inflation, small business optimism, retail sales, consumer confidence, and unemployment claims.  I expect the data to continue occupation of the back seat.  The election news is easy to write about, and financial media are taking the bait.  Anything about the pandemic is newsworthy.  Most important will […]

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Employment Report Preview: Interpret with Care!

There is something wrong with the monthly Payroll Employment Report. Economists were very surprised by the massive jump in jobs reported in May.  They quickly changed their viewpoints about the economy as did important policymakers. The reasons are simple: Employment is the most important economic indicator – the foundation for income, spending, and government revenue. […]

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Weighing the Week Ahead: Is the Payroll Employment Report Accurate?

It is a big week for economic data. There are many reports with the most attention on Friday’s Employment Situation data.  We will also get auto sales, the ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing indexes, construction spending, and factory orders. Weekly jobless claims continue to attract great interest and should.  The corporate earnings story hits a peak […]

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Weighing the Week Ahead: Time for A Look Under the Hood of the Economic Engine

We face an important economic calendar and earnings reports from 192 companies in the S&P 500.  We will get important data on sentiment, personal income and spending, housing, employment claims, inflation, manufacturing.  The first estimate of Q2 GDP is expected to be bad, very bad. And by the way, the FOMC meets and announces a […]

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Weighing the Week Ahead: What is Your Personal Downside Risk?

The economic calendar is light with a focus on home sales.  Unemployment claims data remains an especially important indicator.  Second quarter earnings reports will be more important than the economic data, but I do not expect much fresh information on COVID-19 and earnings outlook.  The average investor gets little help from any of these reports […]

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