Weighing the Week Ahead: Will Corporate Earnings Results Change the Message of the Markets?

It is a light economic calendar without any of the most important reports. The government shutdown will command increasing attention as long as it continues. Finally, there is some real competition in financial news – the start of earnings season. For weeks it has been a battle between economic data and stock prices, between economists […]

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Stock Exchange: Bear Trap Rally?

The Stock Exchange is all about trading. Each week we do the following: discuss an important issue for traders; highlight several technical trading methods, including current ideas; feature advice from top traders and writers; and provide a few (minority) reactions from fundamental analysts. We also have some fun. We welcome comments, links, and ideas to […]

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Weighing the Week Ahead: Should We Worry about Indicators that Decline from a Peak?

We are back to a normal economic calendar, with Congress in session and plenty of FedSpeak. Until the government shutdown ends, I expect that to get maximum news coverage, followed by the President’s latest legal troubles. Since these are not the most important market stories, I want to examine more closely the debate about economic […]

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Stock Exchange: How Much Cash Are You Keeping On The Sidelines?

The Stock Exchange is all about trading. Each week we do the following: discuss an important issue for traders; highlight several technical trading methods, including current ideas; feature advice from top traders and writers; and provide a few (minority) reactions from fundamental analysts. We also have some fun. We welcome comments, links, and ideas to […]

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The Trepidation Trap

When markets decline, investors worry. When they decline sharply, investors get frightened. If selling is extreme, it leads to fear and trepidation. What might signal a more favorable climate? Holding “support?” A big rebound rally? Favorable news? Mustn’t there be something? Beware of these high-profile traps. My own comments follow in italics. The “sucker’s rally” […]

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