Weighing the Week Ahead: Should We Fear the Fed?

The calendar has little important data. Friday’s sharp selling was widely attributed to the fear of a Fed rate hike in September. Is it time? Should we fear the Fed? Last Week There was not much news, and it was another mixed picture. Theme Recap In my last WTWA, I predicted a continuing discussion of […]

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Weighing the Week Ahead: Should We Expect September Mourning?

The abbreviated week’s calendar has little important data. The economic news last week leaves open the timing of the next interest rate increase. As vacationing market participants yawn their way back to their desks and trading floors, what will be the focus? A look at the calendar and the end of summer will have them […]

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Why Smart Investors Struggle to Beat the Market: Over-emphasis on Recent Performance

The individual investor does not beat the market, but actually trails by a significant margin. It is not a matter of intelligence. The habits and skills that help smart people succeed in their jobs and recreational life actually mislead them when it comes to investing! Preface I am writing some posts subjects that have great […]

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Weighing the Week Ahead: Showdown at Jackson Hole?

This week’s calendar features yet another light week for data, a lot of politics, and slow summer trading. Something has to fill all of that air time! This week the punditry gets their favorite topic – the Fed. Chair Yellen’s speech on Friday may set the tone for post-election monetary policy. Sometimes there is also […]

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Weighing the Week Ahead: Have Stock and Oil Prices Decoupled?

This week’s calendar features another relatively light week for data, a lot of politics, slow summer trading, and options expiration. Something has to fill all of that air time! Expect more Olympic coverage, political commentary, and light features. There will be the usual Fed chatter. To the extent that there is real market discussion, I […]

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