2015 in Review: Hot or Not

For the last two years, we’ve taken the time to pause and reflect on changing themes in business and current events. In addition to looking at what got the most “buzz,” we want to mull over the stories that would give you the most edge moving into 2016. In this illustrated review of the year, the “Hot” […]

Read More

Obama Silences Political Scientists!

Did you hear this news, prominently featured on talk radio? The American Political Science Association Annual Meeting. … It's a chance to introduce highlight criticism of policies to a lot of people. And I noticed that the hurricane center's track is — and I'm not alleging conspiracies here. The hurricane center is the regime; the […]

Read More

Romney? 100% Chance of Recession!

In the entire history of official recession dating (beginning in the 1850's) there is a startling fact: Every newly-elected Republican President has brought a first-term recession.  All of them.  "Always and only" as we hear from a popular data-mining pundit. You can check out the list of GOP Presidents here.  And the official recession dating […]

Read More

A Unique Review of 2011: The Year that Wasn’t!

The "year in review" market is another crowded trade.  Either you have a special angle, or why bother?  I hope readers enjoy playing along with my idea for the year that wasn't. My approach involves an essential analytical skill.  You need to have a basis for comparison — often called the "counterfactual."  Regular readers know […]

Read More