Weighing the Week Ahead: Inflation Watch

There is a big economic calendar competing with mid-term election campaign stories. The increase in hourly wages in the employment report offset some market enthusiasm about continuing job market strength. With inflation concerns on a hair trigger, expect special focus on this week’s PPI and CPI. The Beige Book and JOLTS report will also get […]

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Weighing the Week Ahead: A Message from Jackson Hole?

The economic calendar is light, and many are already on vacation. Even actual economic news has not competed with the ‘what can we talk about on a slow Friday’ story over the last few weeks. The real news this week begins with the FOMC minutes on Wednesday and ends with Chairman Powell’s speech Friday morning. […]

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Weighing the Week Ahead: Don’t Get Framed!

The market remains in a narrow trading range, near the record highs. There have been some relatively minor leadership changes. This reflects not investor complacency, but intense disagreement about how to interpret data and events. Each viewpoint has a history, a philosophy, and problem something to sell! The power to set the agenda and to […]

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Weighing the Week Ahead: A Delicate (and Temporary) Balance

Despite plenty of news, there was little market reaction. In a summer week including many vacations, we have a modest economic calendar but plenty of earnings news. I expect the punditry to be asking: What will disrupt the balance of news? Opinions about the balance are quite diverse, as a recap of last week shows. […]

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Weighing the Week Ahead: Anything Goes!

I cannot remember a market week with so many significant events. Important economic data and testimony by Fed Chairman Powell would be a big week. But we also have the Trump/Putin meeting, the start of an important earnings season, and the daily soap opera from Washington. I complained to Mrs. OldProf that there was no […]

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