Weighing the Week Ahead: Should We Worry about Indicators that Decline from a Peak?

We are back to a normal economic calendar, with Congress in session and plenty of FedSpeak. Until the government shutdown ends, I expect that to get maximum news coverage, followed by the President’s latest legal troubles. Since these are not the most important market stories, I want to examine more closely the debate about economic […]

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The Trepidation Trap

When markets decline, investors worry. When they decline sharply, investors get frightened. If selling is extreme, it leads to fear and trepidation. What might signal a more favorable climate? Holding “support?” A big rebound rally? Favorable news? Mustn’t there be something? Beware of these high-profile traps. My own comments follow in italics. The “sucker’s rally” […]

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Weighing the Week Ahead: What is Your Course for Uncharted Waters?

We have a short week and one extremely light in scheduled news and economic data. Even the Wed-Fri stretch comes before another holiday weekend. In addition, the government shutdown will delay scheduled reports. Given the continuing divergence between economic news and market prices, that might not matter! Pundits have plenty to talk about. We are […]

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